Friday, 9 September 2022

Australian Vintage Group (AVG) - Cheap and trying stuff


4 Brands plus new luxury brand to be acquired, strong UK market sales, red wine, white wine, low/zero alcohol wine, spirits, wholesale juice processing capability, 78% branded wine sales, low ROE with 10% target (implies NPAT growth of 33% or $27 million). Trades at 0.5X book and 0.75X NTA, strong ESG credentials, Quality management presentation.  Inflation impacting near term profitability.  2023 profitability vs 2022 will be determined by growth/innovation in low/zero wines and the new strategy in spirits.

Peers

Foley Wines (FWL) - Trades < NTA, cheap

Treasury Wines (TWE)  - Trades at 2.3X Book

Delegat Group (DGL) - Trades 2X Book

Duckhorn Portfolio (NAPA) - Trades 2X Book




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